Friday, January 8, 2010
Thursday, January 7, 2010
Recap of the top 10 for 2009
2009 Headlines of the year! Overall not bad. Some clear misses, some near hits and some home runs.
Top 10 Headlines in 2009
1) China-USA trade war -(Clearly started, but not at the level I expected)
2) Civil unrest in detriot (Not yet)
3) Drug War violense spreads to US from Mexico (clearly up)
4) Obama's Massive Tax increases. (Yep for heath care)
5) cali and NY decalre Bankruptcty. (so close but not yet)
6) The fall of muniplicials tied to SCDO (Not yet but close)
7) The Great Pension Crises (In full swing, with minus 2 trillion unfunded at this point)
8) Why Gold did not play out as expected (Yep with the 12% gain you lose 60% to taxes)
9) Oil at $100 Again (Wow so close at $80)
10) FDIC requires Bailout money (Yep!)
bonus!
11) Failed Bank list tops 100 (Yep!)
12) Ford the last car maker left. (Nope)
13) Why did the treasury bubble collapase. (nope)
14) Is this a replay of 1933 (Nope 1931!)
15) AIG goes out of business (Nope)
16) CRE Markets worse shape ever. (god yes)
17) Loses from the credit crises top $2 Trillion ( way over)
18) Euro/Dollar now at 1:1 (Nope)
19) Major Crisies forces change in China (Not yet the bubble holds)
20) Putin is discredited and steps down (nope)
Top 10 Headlines in 2009
1) China-USA trade war -(Clearly started, but not at the level I expected)
2) Civil unrest in detriot (Not yet)
3) Drug War violense spreads to US from Mexico (clearly up)
4) Obama's Massive Tax increases. (Yep for heath care)
5) cali and NY decalre Bankruptcty. (so close but not yet)
6) The fall of muniplicials tied to SCDO (Not yet but close)
7) The Great Pension Crises (In full swing, with minus 2 trillion unfunded at this point)
8) Why Gold did not play out as expected (Yep with the 12% gain you lose 60% to taxes)
9) Oil at $100 Again (Wow so close at $80)
10) FDIC requires Bailout money (Yep!)
bonus!
11) Failed Bank list tops 100 (Yep!)
12) Ford the last car maker left. (Nope)
13) Why did the treasury bubble collapase. (nope)
14) Is this a replay of 1933 (Nope 1931!)
15) AIG goes out of business (Nope)
16) CRE Markets worse shape ever. (god yes)
17) Loses from the credit crises top $2 Trillion ( way over)
18) Euro/Dollar now at 1:1 (Nope)
19) Major Crisies forces change in China (Not yet the bubble holds)
20) Putin is discredited and steps down (nope)
Top 10 for 2010
1) Dems hold both house and senate. The civil war and lack of money will do in the Republicans.
2) Greece fails. They Drop the EU.
3) The surprise trade of the year? The dollar silly :)
4) Gold under performs, more whinny complaints from all gold bugs. Sorry you need big wins to make this a winner.
5) Pounds falls to parity with the Euro.
6) Iran's government will be sourly tested but stands at the end of the year.
7) Immigration bill will not be passed next year.
8) U6 tops 20%, U3 hits 12%. Economic recover is tepid with negative GDP in Q3 and Q4
9) CRE and more mortgage loses cause over 400 banks to fail.
10) Ben the Printer and Larry Summers are gone by this time next year. Tim G holds on.
2) Greece fails. They Drop the EU.
3) The surprise trade of the year? The dollar silly :)
4) Gold under performs, more whinny complaints from all gold bugs. Sorry you need big wins to make this a winner.
5) Pounds falls to parity with the Euro.
6) Iran's government will be sourly tested but stands at the end of the year.
7) Immigration bill will not be passed next year.
8) U6 tops 20%, U3 hits 12%. Economic recover is tepid with negative GDP in Q3 and Q4
9) CRE and more mortgage loses cause over 400 banks to fail.
10) Ben the Printer and Larry Summers are gone by this time next year. Tim G holds on.
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
FT.com / US / Economy & Fed - US public pensions face $2,000bn deficit
FT.com / US / Economy & Fed - US public pensions face $2,000bn deficit
Trillion here, trillion there soon you are talking real money....
Trillion here, trillion there soon you are talking real money....
Monday, January 4, 2010
11 Surprising Commodities That Kicked Gold's Ass In 2009
11 Surprising Commodities That Kicked Gold's Ass In 2009
Guess What Gold sucked, per my top 20 of 2009 themes.
Guess What Gold sucked, per my top 20 of 2009 themes.
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