Friday, June 5, 2009

G.M. Reaches Deal to Sell Saturn to Penske - DealBook Blog - NYTimes.com

G.M. Reaches Deal to Sell Saturn to Penske - DealBook Blog - NYTimes.com
Saturn Gone. Hopefully they can restore the Brand after it was watered down by GM management who never understood it.

Zero Hedge: The State Vs. Federal Schism

Zero Hedge: The State Vs. Federal Schism
I would urge you to read this whole things.
Just ugly for almost every state government.

U6 Alternative measures of labor underutilization

Table A-12. Alternative measures of labor underutilization
Ouch. In what was the largest jump in U3 we have gone to 9.4%
U6 is now at 16.4%
Just ugly numbers. If this pass held we would jump to 10% in two more months.
U6 would approach 20% in four months.

Thursday, June 4, 2009

FT Alphaville » Blog Archive » Make no mistake, the ‘Baltic Three’ are in the dock

FT Alphaville » Blog Archive » Make no mistake, the ‘Baltic Three’ are in the dock

Most of Eastern Europe is a house of cards, one goes, the rest will follow soon. Very bad for some European countries. (We are looking at you Spain).

Latvian bond failure begins

FT Alphaville » Blog Archive » Latvian bond failure begins

Back to Eastern Europe, where no green shots have been talked about. It looks Latvia is on the verge of collapse ala Iceland.

FDIC's Economic Analysis

FDIC's Economic Analysis

Slide 35 - forecasts unemployment 9.1% for 2009 and 9.7% for 2010.

Funy that right now we are 8.9%. Based on the last year we would be looking like this.

May (Released in June) 9.2-9.3%

June 9.4-9.5%

July 9.5-9.6%

Aug 9.7-9.9$

Sept 9.9-10.2%

Oct 10.2-10.4%

Nov 10.4-10.6%

Dec 10.6-10.8%

So I dont see how we stop at 9.7%, especial since GM just doubled the number of dealership closing to over 2000. Equals about 100,000 in Direct losses. Top that with Part suppliers, service people and others and we are looking at 250-500K in indirect losses. That would push us to 11% easily by the end of the year.

Top all of this with no discussion of CRE losses. Still way too rosy for my taste.