Thursday, December 24, 2009

Merry Chirstmas!

And Happy New Year. Lite posting till the new year.

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

TIC Data Confirms: Foreign Appetite Gone - The Market Ticker

TIC Data Confirms: Foreign Appetite Gone - The Market Ticker
With the forigen buyers gone, it is down the banks who are received cheap money (.25%) to buy the treasuries which are paying 4%. When the merry go round stops we are all screwed.

Goldman Sachs: The Little Hoovers Are Multiplying, State Budgets Set To Be Major Economic Drag

Goldman Sachs: The Little Hoovers Are Multiplying, State Budgets Set To Be Major Economic Drag
In short the state are begin to breakdown. With the weight of pension, medicare ever rising cost and ever decrasing tax revenue. They need to take a hard look now before we start to see local, city and state bankruptcys.

Friday, December 11, 2009

European Central Bank Privately Worries Baltics Are The Next Debt Crisis

European Central Bank Privately Worries Baltics Are The Next Debt Crisis

Bloomberg: “the authorities in the Baltic states may not be able to prevent a renewed emergence of macro-economic imbalances and a repetition of the boom-bust cycle,” the ECB said in a document dated Nov. 17 and prepared for a meeting of the EU’s economic and finance committee.
Translated=The government can not the default.

...

“The experience of the Baltic states suggests that, for countries that have opted for pegging tightly their exchange rates, there is a significant risk that relatively low interest rates lead to excessive domestic borrowing and the emergence of asset price bubbles,” the ECB said.
Translated=Defense of currency is stupid and will blow up your country.
...


The boom-to-bust fate of the Baltic states has been exacerbated by euro-denominated borrowing since the countries joined the EU more than five years ago. That’s obliged central banks to stick more rigorously to their euro pegs or risk leaving households and businesses unable to service their debt.
Translated=Borrowing in something other then your own currency will lead to pain for everyone.

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

We have entered the moment when the Greek crisis is turning dangerous

We have entered the moment when the Greek crisis is turning dangerous
put them in the basket with at least 6 others. Dubai, all the Baltics, Spain, Ireland and California. 2010 will the year os the country default.

Elizabeth Warren: America Without a Middle Class

Elizabeth Warren: America Without a Middle Class
We are destroy the middle class. If this is not revered we are on the way to become something very sad and terrible.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

FT.com | FT Energy Source | Mexican oil production: from bad to worse

FT.com | FT Energy Source | Mexican oil production: from bad to worse
Ugly charts. Once again this will have a major destabilizing problem in mexico. Since the goverment is very dependent on oil reveune.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Rolfe Winkler » Blog Archive » GMAC shouldn’t have a government ally | Blogs |

Rolfe Winkler » Blog Archive » GMAC shouldn’t have a government ally | Blogs |

Thinking here on a rainy Tuesday. What if GMAC goes down. What if FHA needs a bailout at the same time. What would the market do?

Friday, November 13, 2009

Op-Ed Contributor - Where Credit Isn’t Due - NYTimes.com

Op-Ed Contributor - Where Credit Isn’t Due - NYTimes.com
It is called the invisible hand cause we are not supposed to push things around. However it would in the interest of the big banks to stop giving ammo to congress. It is clear now they are making case they need to regulated as the gouge the consumer.

Rosenberg: Something Big Is About To Happen

Rosenberg: Something Big Is About To Happen
Going long the dollar still. When everyone else is jumping off the cliff I like bet against them surving.

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Labor Data: Milking More Blood From Stones – 24/7 Wall St.

Labor Data: Milking More Blood From Stones – 24/7 Wall St.
Could not say it better. We are deflating wages, driving harder and not hiring. Not a sign of recovery by any means.

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Business Bankruptcy 2009 update

http://doomisnigh.blogspot.com/2009/08/business-bankruptcy-fillings.html
Back in August I thought my predictions would be close to target but second Quarter blew past my prediction of 15+ thousands. Topping 16 thousands which is bad a record for any quater and almost matches all of 2006 the last 'good' year. Also 2nd QT is typical the slow quater for BK. I would imaging the Q3 numbers will be even worse and one wonders what the Citi BK will have (A spike would not surprising as credit dries up sales at smaller merchants). In short big problems in the business sector.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Is Congress Micromanaging GM? - The Daily Beast

Is Congress Micromanaging GM? - The Daily Beast
Really the Government run GM is being micromanage for the benefit of some in congress. Shocking.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Friday, October 16, 2009

No more post till Monday

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Monday, October 12, 2009

New Yorker: The Secret Cycle | The Big Picture

New Yorker: The Secret Cycle The Big Picture
Excellent read from the new yorker. Long. My Grandfather was a huge thinker about cycles. I am not so sure. Most of the time it does not fit.

NASA/Marshall Solar Physics

NASA/Marshall Solar Physics
What does the lack of sunsports mean? What is the long term impact to us?

Online network to cover Manna co-op trial | Chronicle-Telegram

Online network to cover Manna co-op trial Chronicle-Telegram

A local story no one is following. Sad to see. yes the may have need a license. But why raid there house with a SWAT team?

Fed Starting To Freak Out Over Commercial Real Estate

Fed Starting To Freak Out Over Commercial Real Estate
Another top issue for the year, CR is in big trouble. Of course do we deal with it? Nah push it off till tomorrow.

Aquacalypse Now | The New Republic

Aquacalypse Now The New Republic
Wow, scary stuff. True? hard to say since i dont following fishing.

Soros: US Banking System Is "Basically Bankrupt"

Soros: US Banking System Is "Basically Bankrupt"
The end is nigh? Seems like a bleak tone in the last two weeks or maybe it is just me.

October 2009

October 2009
As we prepare to past the 100 mark for the year. One still has to wonder how much more rearrange of deck chairs we can do before we realize the ship is sinking.

Gold Can't Be 6x Levered Against The Dollar Forever

Gold Can't Be 6x Levered Against The Dollar Forever
In short gold will not perform to expectations. Just like i predicted at the start of the year.

Unemployment Problems Will Get Much Worse – 24/7 Wall St.

Unemployment Problems Will Get Much Worse – 24/7 Wall St.
How long before we admit the stimulus is not working and never would work? It is not about job creation, it was about pork.

Friday, October 2, 2009

Table A-12. Alternative measures of labor underutilization

Table A-12. Alternative measures of labor underutilization

Just ugly numbers, we pushed above 17% on U6. While U3 looks to be holding that is really bad, as workers out of a job over 12 months are dropping from that record. Which means we are seeing continued job losses. Also troubling Government moved to the negative. Guess that stimulus is not working so well.

Banks Have Us Flying Blind on Depth of Losses: Jonathan Weil - Bloomberg.com

Banks Have Us Flying Blind on Depth of Losses: Jonathan Weil - Bloomberg.com
Till we stop lying we will not where the end is. It is time to stop acting like Japan and start acting like the US. Creative destruction now.

Spain’s Manufacturing Contraction Accelerates in September

Spain’s Manufacturing Contraction Accelerates in September afoe A Fistful of Euros European Opinion
Spain is in big troubles. Things continue to decline and if it the suffer a major crisis we could be looking at major test of the Euro and the European union.

Roving Bandit: Why Migration Matters for Development

Roving Bandit: Why Migration Matters for Development
.
Always funny and on point. I love this blog from the Sudan. Right on point with this one. Think about it and let me know.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Trade Tensions With China Quietly Escalating « naked capitalism

Trade Tensions With China Quietly Escalating « naked capitalism
Trade war, where did that happen before? Oh yeah Great Depression? Would started it? US. Who will start this time? China.

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Struggle A Year After Takeover

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Struggle A Year After Takeover
Not really we thought they should be closed. They are a festering problem and will be for a long time.

Friday, August 28, 2009

Why The Fed Is So Desperate To Keep Its Bailout Gifts Secret

Why The Fed Is So Desperate To Keep Its Bailout Gifts Secret
History rhymes we like to say here. In this case Ben may be listen but I think it is off base since most consumers only care about the FDIC, but shareholders would pound banks in trouble.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Be Patient With Gold

Be Patient With Gold
I have not ranted on gold in awhile, but as part of my big in 2010 predictions I mention gold would underperfrom and disappoint. Clearly this author wants you to hold on. It is going up. Here is a clue. All things bubble then collapse. As a final question who can eat gold :) Just saying if the end time comes, what good is gold?

GDP Revision (Unchanged) Is Good News

GDP Revision (Unchanged) Is Good News
Not really. We continue to shrink and business is not spending. Q3 may be ugly.

FDIC report tomorrow

Will it start a bank run? Tomorrow the FDIC will likely report they need to borrow money from the Treasury. Is that enough to panic people? Hard to say but I lean towards no.

Calculated Risk: Bank Failure #81: Down Goes Guaranty

Calculated Risk: Bank Failure #81: Down Goes Guaranty
3 more along with the big one. MW called for 300 this year. I think we are on track to push past that.

Here Comes Trouble: Three Problems - The Market Ticker

Here Comes Trouble: Three Problems - The Market Ticker
Just in case you where thinking he does not have enough problems, the social secuirty system is now much closer to blowing up as well.

Thursday, August 20, 2009

We Need RTC-II

We Need RTC-II - NOW - The Market Ticker
There are some deep problems with the Banks. Clearly the FDIC and other regulators are allowing them to hobble along. God help us all.

Foreclosure report

Clariden Leu: Investment Research: Private Banking
It seems clear we are done with the subprime but everything else is souring now.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Loss Rates for FDIC higher than during S&L Crisis

Calculated Risk: WSJ: Loss Rates for FDIC higher than during S&L Crisis
Big risk, the banks are cost more on percentage basis. IE they are not just insolvent they are massive insolvent.

150 Public Banks May Be Near Death

150 Public Banks May Be Near Death
Is the FDIC broke? If so the cat food story may be closer then we like to think.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Business Bankruptcy Fillings




So lets take a look at a couple of things, first a nice chart of Business BK fillings, trending down since 90's, now on the up swing. No big surprise







Now lets look at the consumer, trending up to 2005, then the big BK law casued a spike. Of course that number may be exceed this year.


So lets look more deeply at the last 15 years of business BK


Year 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total

2009 14,319 15,319 17,019 18,319 64,976 Estimated Q2,Q3,Q4

If my estimates are correct we are looking at the largest Business BK since the early 90's




Green Shoots? Not Retail Sales or Unemployment Claims | The Big Picture

Green Shoots? Not Retail Sales or Unemployment Claims The Big Picture
As I mention several weeks ago, Retail sales for July where bad. Taking out Autos we see continuing declines. Along with no recover in unemployment numbers. We may be on plateau but not the bottom

Table A-12. Alternative measures of labor underutilization

Table A-12. Alternative measures of labor underutilization
Wow some good news from last week. May be a mirage cause by Census data and Autoworkers return from BK temporary closures.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Is The FDIC Broke And Covering It Up? - The Market Ticker

Is The FDIC Broke And Covering It Up? - The Market Ticker
Karl may have something here. Is there political pressure to not drain the FDIC of its remain funds?

Q2 GDP: -1%, -6.4% for Q1

Q2 GDP: -1%
Really ugly number from Q1
If we get a revision down and things to do not improve we will be temping the 10% mark. A key indicator of a depression.

News from 1930: Monday, July 28, 1930: Dow 240.31 +2.83 (1.2%)

News from 1930: Monday, July 28, 1930: Dow 240.31 +2.83 (1.2%)

or a ringing heard in 2009

Germany in crisis: von Hindenburg's dissolution of the Reichstag is climax of long series of financial crises. After a remarkable economic recovery in the past five years, Germany's access to foreign capital has been cut off by the financial crisis; they're now faced with severe unemployment and need to bridge large budget deficits. Temporary dictatorship is an opportunity for drastic measures, though there is some worry that after new elections Socialists and National Socialists will gain. Some positives in continued export growth and solid condition of Reichsbank.

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Dewalt leaving Roush Fenway at end of season

Dewalt leaving Roush Fenway at end of season
Bad sign for NASCAR which is already struggling with a massive drop in Fan attendance.

Oakland to Tax marijuana

Green shoots Free exchange Economist.com
1st in the country. Is this the begin of the end of the drug war on marijuana?

Nothing bullish in crude

-FT Alphaville » Blog Archive » Nothing bullish in crude

Short Term Oil remains high. Looking for a pull back for the end of the year.

Pension Pulse: California's $100 Billion Whooping

Pension Pulse: California's $100 Billion Whooping
The pension mess is now in full blown crises. This will drain more money from all the parties (State,local, and cities).

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

News from 1930: Monday, July 21, 1930: Dow 236.65 -3.92 (1.6%)

News from 1930: Monday, July 21, 1930: Dow 236.65 -3.92 (1.6%)
or 2009


Governor R.A. Young of Fed. Reserve Bd. warns banks to be careful
about the increasing amount of loans against securities. About the crash last
fall, says: “there is food for serious thought in the fact that, under our
excellent banking system ... we nevertheless came to the brink of a collapse,
had to resort to heroic action to prevent a panic, and were not able to avoid
... severe liquidation and what appears to be a business depression. Is this
unavoidable? Is it necessary for this country to go through periods of reckless
exuberance, accompanied by enormous credit expansion and fantastic levels of
money rates that profoundly disturb the financial structure not only here but
all over the world?” The cost of these episodes is paid in unemployment and
worldwide depression. Reminds banks that security loans are safe only if a
liquid market exists for the security; large scale sales can cause a drop in
value, “and there is no telling when such a drop may terminate and what
catastrophe may follow ...” Calls on banks not to assume Fed will always be able
to help them, since its resources are “not inexhaustible.”

Friday, July 17, 2009

Stimulus spending faces red tape bottlenecks - Eye on the Economy- msnbc.com

Stimulus spending faces red tape bottlenecks - Eye on the Economy- msnbc.com

If ever there was a sign what a huge waste the stimulis is was this is it. Also it should be cold shower to anyone who thinks the government can do it better. If they wanted results they should have given the money directly or not done it at all.

AIG’s European Derivatives May Take Decades to Expire (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

AIG’s European Derivatives May Take Decades to Expire (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
Thanks to all us, the taxpayers, we are back stopping this.

“There’s no question that asset values have soured on a global basis. With the faith and credit of the U.S. government backing those guarantees, why would they give that up?”

Thursday, July 16, 2009

MGIC to halt new business; posts steep loss | Markets | Markets News | Reuters

UPDATE 2-MGIC to halt new business; posts steep loss Markets Markets News Reuters
Is it me or are we reapting last year. First the run up in Oil, now MGIC in trouble. Damn what is next, oh yeah CIT goes BK tomorrow, ala Lehman.

Now Watch The CIT Backlash Begin

Now Watch The CIT Backlash Begin
Wow, we are going to let the markets work. Not sure what happen must be the sun.

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Obama Punting On Fannie, Freddie Could Prove Costly

Obama Punting On Fannie, Freddie Could Prove Costly
Why worry, the only have 1/4 of all the mortage paper in the US? I mean how bad could the loses get? If we are int the 4 or 5 inning it could be bad.

The Great Cabernet Ripoff - Page 1 - The Daily Beast

The Great Cabernet Ripoff - Page 1 - The Daily Beast
Drink what you like. Don't use price as a factor. And for the love of god don't drink white zinfandial.

American Express suspends payments into UK stakeholder pensions - Telegraph

American Express suspends payments into UK stakeholder pensions - Telegraph
Following up from several months ago. American Express appears to be in serious trouble. This is just a further sign of what they are doing. Along with massive credit line cuts.

Tuesday, July 14, 2009

News from 1930: Monday, July 14, 1930: Dow 229.23 +4.37 (1.9%)

News from 1930: Monday, July 14, 1930: Dow 229.23 +4.37 (1.9%)
or 2009

Important economists strongly believe current seasonal lull is low point of
the industrial depression; some good news in week-over week freight increase
and
June rise in construction contracts. Drop in steel backlog not as bad as
feared;
oil curtailment making progress; increase in rail freight
rates.

Retail Sales Still Stink | The Big Picture

Retail Sales Still Stink The Big Picture
No big surprise here and from yesterday post we can expect July to be worse.

The Bust of the Williamsburg Condo Boom -- New York Magazine

The Bust of the Williamsburg Condo Boom -- New York Magazine
Awesome read. Just remember Condo's are not caculted in the housiong numbers. So we have a whole bunch of foreclosed properties not even counted.

Don't Gamble On Casino Stocks-Minyanville

Don't Gamble On Casino Stocks-Minyanville

My sense as well, we over played the rally. This article talks retail which is the back bone of the recovery. Does not look good.

Thursday, July 9, 2009

Crazy or Gutsy? The Call for $2 on General Electric (GE) – 24/7 Wall Street

Crazy or Gutsy? The Call for $2 on General Electric (GE) – 24/7 Wall Street
GE has serious problems. If it broke the low it set last time we could see $4 a share but $2 a share would indicate a massive blow to the whole market.

L.A. Targets Cannabis Clubs - WSJ.com

L.A. Targets Cannabis Clubs - WSJ.com
The better question to ask, if the city can support 100's more why close them? You have people who are employed, you have tax revenue from the business, you have income tax from the employees. Why fight this when CA cleary needs every job and income it can get.

Tuesday, July 7, 2009

News from 1930

News from 1930 or 2009?


Finch, Wilson, & Co.: “We believe that many stocks are now selling far
below their real value and that purchases can now be made with a minimum of risk
and a maximum of confidence of higher prices later.”

The 16th Forbes Cruise for Investors

The 16th Forbes Cruise for Investors
For all my rich investors out there, here is a little vacation idea.

Big Banks Don't Want California's IOUs - WSJ.com

Big Banks Don't Want California's IOUs - WSJ.com
Just another deadline. When the IOU"s stop trading (Via brokers) and move below 50% to par that will be the signal the end is near.

Mexico's Ruling Party Is Seen Losing Ground - WSJ.com

Mexico's Ruling Party Is Seen Losing Ground - WSJ.com
Not good news for Mexico, the former rulers we terribly corrupt. It will also make finding a solution for oil reveune much tougher.

Florida aided Allen Stanford, suspect in huge swindle - Florida - MiamiHerald.com

Florida aided Allen Stanford, suspect in huge swindle - Florida - MiamiHerald.com

So if your bank has nice taste in furniture you entrust you life savings, Are your F$#$ kidding me?

''Everything was first class,'' she said. ``We thought our money was
safe.''

The state of Florida would have to grant him the right to move
vast amounts of money offshore -- without reporting a penny to regulators.

Sure this is fine, all the money offshort with no records.

Who the hell was in charge and what did they get paid to let this happen?

Banks Take Aim at Revolvers - Banking - CFO.com

Banks Take Aim at Revolvers - Banking - CFO.com
Here is a key problem. If short Term money is costly business will use it less and therefore have less money to spend on expanding. In short we are in vicious negative loop with no exit in site.

UBS: ‘The disaster in Spain will continue’ - Credit Writedowns

UBS: ‘The disaster in Spain will continue’ - Credit Writedowns
With in a year or two we will see Spain collapase. With that we will see the breakup of the Euro and possible the European union.

Biggest VIX Drop Hides Options Bets S&P 500 Will Fall (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Biggest VIX Drop Hides Options Bets S&P 500 Will Fall (Update2) - Bloomberg.com
We have gone up to much for such a short period. It is an easy money bet we will make a correction lower.
Disclosure -Short S&P500

Table A-12. Alternative measures of labor underutilization

Table A-12. Alternative measures of labor underutilization
9.5% U3 and 16.8% U6
Strange that we only got a single bases point increase in U3. Unadjusted shows 9.7%. Still Looking for 10% before September.

Lost in the Weed: We stopped subsidizing tobacco farming. The result? Tobacco farming’s on the rise. | The Big Money

Lost in the Weed: We stopped subsidizing tobacco farming. The result? Tobacco farming’s on the rise. The Big Money
While some of the conclusions may be off, the tell highlights the foolishness of paying people to not farm. It inflates the price and helps no one. We should end all farm payments like this.

To Dennis Kneale: You're An Idiot

To Dennis Kneale: You're An Idiot - The Market Ticker
Adding to that, If you think that magic will happen and the CRE mess will not cause problems you are delusional. If you think the fall in tax income for the states will not hurt you have head in the sand.

U.S. Plan to Stem Foreclosures Is Mired in Paper Avalanche - NYTimes.com

U.S. Plan to Stem Foreclosures Is Mired in Paper Avalanche - NYTimes.com
Banks have terrible customer service and are built this way to cause of audit requirements and regulations. Any hope of this changing is furlone.

The Looming Chinese Banking Disaster

The Looming Chinese Banking Disaster
If you think the RMB is safe, I have some lovely CDO's for sale at a discount.

With Unemployment Moving To 9.6%, Economic Impact Of Jobs Is Just Beginning – 24/7 Wall Street

With Unemployment Moving To 9.6%, Economic Impact Of Jobs Is Just Beginning – 24/7 Wall Street

With the last jump we could see 9.8% on thursday based on the velocity of unemployment. There is no signs of hiring in fact with closing of the dealers from Chyrsler and GM we could easly push above 10% next month.

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Louis Gerstner: Kill The Casino Wall Street Has Become

Louis Gerstner: Kill The Casino Wall Street Has Become
It is clear something is wrong in the markets. I can only assume someone is playing the music. When they stop the you better grab a chair and hold on.

H1N1 Update

http://health.utah.gov/epi/h1n1flu/sitrep062409.pdf

Some Ugly stats coming out of the CDC. Lets hope it gets no worse.

A category 2 pandemic has the following characteristics: • Case fatality ratio
of 0.1 percent to less than 0.5 percent.
• Between 90,000 and 450,000 deaths
in the U.S. (compared with estimated 36,000 deaths during a typical influenza
season).
• Excess death rate of between 30 to less than 150 per 100,000
people.
• Illness rate of between 20 and 40 percent


 


 

California set to issue IOUs as fiscal crisis weighs | U.S. | Reuters

California set to issue IOUs as fiscal crisis weighs U.S. Reuters
Next week could be ugly. No signs of closing the gap soon and washington so far says no bailout. Are we really going to play chicken with the 8 largest GDP in the world?

Gross Domestic Product and Corporate Profits

News Release: Gross Domestic Product and Corporate Profits
Q1 -5.5%. Ouch unless we get some serious wind it be negative for the whole year. At this point it does not look like any wind is blowing.

The Animal Spirits Page: On the coming neo-feudalism

The Animal Spirits Page: On the coming neo-feudalism
IS this really where we are heading? I think it is dream that China will have any economic power. They are our twin. Producing everything we consume. When we stop the wheels come off. Yes I expect Riots here. Yes I expect Obama to not be the savior. But in the end creative destruction will sow the seeds for recovery. What that looks like no one knows.

News from 1930

News from 1930
A cool site, more then a little scary in some cases.


Col. Ayres, VP Cleveland Trust, predicts an abrupt recovery in stock and
commodity prices by Labor Day due to current consumption exceeding production.
Distinguishes between two types of depression, “V”-shaped and “U”-shaped.

Insider Selling Outpaces Buying 22x

Insider Selling Outpaces Buying 22x
Hmm..Wonder who they are listen too. Cause CNBC is sure the bottom is in. I would be selling too if I owned company stock.

China - Economic Catastrophe Unfolding

Zero Hedge: Guest Post: China - Economic Catastrophe Unfolding
Excellent read. China is hidding its problems. When they are flushed out you will see a massive drop in there markets.

Bond Market Plays

It looks like we may get some bond prices declines in the next year or so.
If you want to profit from it.

~ UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ProShares (NYSE: TBT): This ETF is not for the faint-hearted. It seeks to perform at twice the inverse results of the Lehman Brothers 20+ Year U.S. Treasury Index. So if the Index drops 5%, TBT should return rise about 10%

.~ ProFunds Rising Rate Opportunity (RRPIX): This is a mutual fund that also seeks the inverse performance of the bond market. Its results aim to correspond to 125% of the inverse of the daily movement of the 30-year Treasury bond.

Friday, June 19, 2009

US Set To Intercept North Korean Ship Suspected Of Proliferating Nukes

Zero Hedge: US Set To Intercept North Korean Ship Suspected Of Proliferating Nukes
Aside from the fact a war with North Korea would be bloody, if they lauch nuclear weapons it will empower the hawks that attacking Iran is needed. All of this is very bad. We have almost no uncommitted forces to support a third war much less a attack on Iran.

California Soon To Get Junked By Moody's

Zero Hedge: California Soon To Get Junked By Moody's
It is possible that would we could another major storm in the financial world. I am still in very negative and have puts against the SP for a large drop by Decemember.

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Lite posting as I am traveling

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

China's "Suicidal" Buy China Provision

China's "Suicidal" Buy China Provision
Lets call it round two. Round one was fired by the US in the stimuls bill. Yes it does parallal the GD, but in this case China is America. We are Europe. Both countires got whacked badly by this.

Momentum builds for broad debate on legalizing pot - Yahoo! News

Momentum builds for broad debate on legalizing pot - Yahoo! News
IF anyone thinks for a second that legalization will make a difference to the youth they are crazy. From the experence of my daughter growning up I can tell you Pot is widely availalbe, widely used and considered safer then acholol.
Legaliazation is the only answer

The White House Is Open To Bailing Out California

The White House Is Open To Bailing Out California
Dont waste the money on a broken system. If they need a bailout it should come with big changes an cuts.

Monday, June 15, 2009

Iran poll loser leads huge rally

BBC NEWS Middle East Iran poll loser leads huge rally
With the spilt from the top regliuous leaders it is possible we could some fundamenatal change within Iran. Usually you get a united front, everything is fine or if the elections where rigged a crack down on the losers. In this case it appears the top leaders of Iran do not have a either. A sign of problems. The next 24 hours should be very interesting